In the face of the Russian offensive, the head of Ukrainian diplomacy, Dmytro Kuleba, called for speeding up Western deliveries of "additional air defence systems, combat drones" and "missiles with a range of more than 300 kilometres"

Russia seeks to exhaust Ukraine with massive bombardment

PHOTO/POOL/AFP/MIKHAIL KLIMENTYEV - Esta fotografía de grupo distribuida por la agencia estatal rusa Sputnik muestra al presidente de Rusia, Vladímir Putin, participando en una cumbre virtual de líderes del G20 en Moscú el 22 de noviembre de 2023
This group photo distributed by Russia's state-run Sputnik agency shows Russian President Vladimir Putin participating in a virtual summit of G20 leaders in Moscow on November 22, 2023 - PHOTO/POOL/AFP/MIKHAIL KLIMENTYEV

Russia's massive bombardment of major Ukrainian cities in recent days is aimed, according to experts, at exhausting the population and wearing down Ukraine's anti-aircraft defences, which has again asked its Western allies for more weapons. 

A meeting between NATO and Ukraine on this issue is scheduled for Wednesday at Kiev's request, the Alliance announced. 

According to Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski, Russia fired nearly 300 missiles and more than 200 Shahed explosive drones in two attacks on 29 December and the night of 1-2 January, killing some 50 people. 

A year after Moscow's massive attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, this midwinter campaign has hit essential civilian facilities and residential areas, according to Kiev. Moscow, however, as it usually does, claims it only targeted military targets. 

According to Mick Ryan, a research associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), one of the Kremlin's first objectives is to "test" Ukraine's anti-aircraft defence, which has been boosted by the US Patriot system and its Franco-Italian equivalent, SAMP/T MAMBA. 

Russia is hopeful that "Ukraine will run out of interceptors before Russia runs out of missiles and drones," Ryan, a retired Australian general, said on the social networking site X. 

Russia has mobilised its economy for war while Western countries are slow to supply Ukraine with the required number of surface-to-air anti-aircraft missiles, which are far more complex and expensive to manufacture than some drones built partly from civilian equipment. 

According to the UK Ministry of Defence, the main target of Russian attacks is the defence industry, which Kiev is trying to strengthen in the face of a shortage of Western arms deliveries. 

Psychological pressure 

The Russians "are now trying to attack the military-industrial complex, the enterprises, not the energy infrastructure [as they did last winter] but arms production," military analyst Mykola Bielieskov of the Ukrainian Institute for Strategic Studies tells AFP. 

"We have started to produce more weapons than before," Sergiy Zgurets, director of the Ukrainian research centre Defense Express, told AFP, referring to ammunition, drones, armoured vehicles and radar. 

According to the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Russia used drones, modern cruise missiles, older ones and ballistic missiles for the 1-2 January attack. 

Ukraine also claims to have shot down ten Kinjal hypersonic missiles despite the Kremlin's claim that they are "invincible". 

The aim of the Russian attacks is also, as it has been since the beginning of the war in February 2022, to undermine the morale of the population. 

"Russian 'victories' on the ground are local and are achieved at an exorbitant human cost," Tatiana Kastueva-Jean of the French Institute of International Relations told AFP. 

According to the expert, Putin's message is "I will not give in, you will suffer endlessly and die if you do not meet my conditions". 

Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of R. Politik, a centre for analysis of Russian politics, believes that the latest Russian attacks are in retaliation for the Ukrainian shelling of the Russian city of Belgorod that killed 25 people on 30 December. 

According to the analyst, Putin's message is: "Ukraine cannot attack us without consequences". 

In the face of the Russian offensive, the head of Ukrainian diplomacy, Dmytro Kuleba, called for speeding up Western deliveries of "additional air defence systems, combat drones" and "missiles with a range of more than 300 kilometres". 

In the same vein, Poland on Wednesday called for equipping Ukraine with long-range missiles to respond to Russian attacks. 

Kiev is also waiting for F-16 fighter jets promised by several European countries, which can participate in air-to-air missile defence.