2025: Trump and Putin agree to divide up the world
This year that is coming to an end will not be any less violent or more stable, nor can we even say that it has been a great year in terms of geopolitics or geoeconomics
Trump's return to the White House has been and continues to be the most disruptive factor for the global village.
In the dying days of a year marked by uncertainty, gold and silver have been more than just a safe haven, acting as if they were in an auction box to see who would bid the highest while their value rose and rose towards the clouds. Silver has appreciated by more than 150% this year, and the price of gold has exceeded $4,500 per ounce.
This gold and silver bubble will continue to grow next year. There are already doomsayers who see gold reaching nearly $8,000 per ounce. We must be careful, because everything that goes up will eventually come down.
Another relevant factor is the artificial intelligence bubble, which is forming rapidly, boosted by the seven magnificent technology companies that are part of the S&P 500: Apple Inc., Microsoft Corporation, Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla.
Meanwhile, in the field of geopolitics, it is ultimately Trump who is setting the priorities for US security and defence, imposing his conditions on Europe and influencing the agenda in Latin America.
With the Russian dictator, he intends to divide up Ukraine without any shame and do the same with the rest of the world, outlining the division of the world and US interests for the second half of the 21st century.
This year, Trump and Putin spoke in Anchorage about their spheres of influence, about what is a priority for each of them in accordance with the supremacist interests of their countries. On this point, the White House leader prefers to agree with Putin on the division of the world, ignoring China's interests and leaving Russia with the role of containing the Asian giant. China and Russia maintain a strange geostrategic relationship between two countries that have nothing to unite them, either culturally or existentially. They may converge within the spectrum of autocracies, but China has the economic power that Russia lacks, and Russia wields the geopolitical power that China lacks.
Among Trump's priorities is to regain his interventionist and imperialist sphere of influence in the American continent. He knows that Greenland, in the event of war, would be another Pearl Harbor; that is why he wants to take over the ice island, snatch it from Greenland and turn it into a key military base to fortify that weak flank. Not everything has to do with the future Arctic routes that will one day be operational, because at the moment what exists in Greenland is still ice, icebergs and frozen fjords, as I was able to witness during my visit to Greenland and its capital.
In addition, the new US foreign policy wants to extend its sphere of influence to Patagonia. Various Russian media outlets have recently reported that the Kremlin is aware of Trump's priorities, and that is why the Venezuelan government, led by Nicolás Maduro, is on the verge of collapse.
There is even talk of a golden retirement in Moscow: the Russian dictator would be willing to grant asylum to Maduro, as he already does with other despots, such as Syria's Bashar al-Assad. I should point out that Venezuelan gold has been stored in Russia for some time, so Maduro will want to be close to the gold he has plundered from the Venezuelan people.
On a related note
With Europe, Trump has shown that he will withdraw his support in the event of a European conflict with Putin. Perhaps this is a kind of give and take in which both players decide: you keep Greenland and Venezuela, and you let me regain ground in Europe.
The most thorny issue in this division is Ukraine, because Trump, who is overly ambitious, does not want to leave the whole prize to Putin. Both have been locked in a tug-of-war for some time over how they will manage the division of energy exploitation, grain, rare earths, ports and, above all, the largest nuclear power plant in Europe, located in Zaporizhia.
Trump has already proposed various management models; however, Putin does not want to share the spoils with anyone and wants not only what they have invaded, but also what they have yet to occupy, in order to keep the regions of Zaporizhia, Kherson, Donetsk and Luhansk.
Putin's refusal to agree to a ceasefire and a peace plan stems from his desire to see his own plan prevail: one that involves the capitulation of Ukraine, its demilitarisation, and non-membership of NATO or the European Union, among other demands.
While Trump seeks to regain American influence in those regions where China has expanded through investment and its New Silk Road, for Putin, his sphere of influence involves controlling Ukraine and much of Europe. This year, it has become very clear to all of us that this is only the beginning of new confrontations to come.
What a 2026 awaits us!