Is the wolf coming?

At this point in the film it seems unnecessary to try to define and draw the relatively small scenario where the latest war events are taking place, which in this case have been going on for almost a year now, in the Middle East or Near East.

Since its creation as a State -after the Second World War- Israel has endured constant harassment by its Arab neighbors and, to date, it has had to face several intense and bloody wars and all kinds of political, cultural and economic confrontations in order to survive.

Its high national spirit, the staunch love for the land as its promised land, the strength and resilience of its people and the many, important and great economic, technological and military supports they receive from their economically powerful and certainly assiduous diaspora and from certain countries, mainly the USA, are what have made it possible for them to survive, The State of Israel has remained where it has been since its creation and, after the many setbacks caused by the two opposing sides in the dispute, many of the countries that were once stubborn enemies, today, thanks to intense diplomatic campaigns, the State of Israel has been able to remain where it is today, today, thanks to their own intense diplomatic campaigns, conveniently seasoned with the intervention of the United States as catalyst or accelerator, a good number of them, such as Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Jordan and Morocco are among those more in favor of seeking and promoting the existence and capacity of Israel than in supporting others, such as Iran, that only seek its destruction because they consider it, besides being an enemy to death, a great obstacle for them to propagate their Shiite beliefs and theories among the Muslim world.

It is not difficult to make clear the deep-rooted and mutual enmities between Iran and Israel. They are well known, as are the many Iranian promises to wipe Israel off the map as soon as they have the means and the power to do so. Hence, the fear of the danger that the International Community (IC) has traditionally been defining and cultivating, about the convenience or not of Iran becoming a country with nuclear capabilities.

For years, Iran has been subjected to many efforts, pressures and coercions of all kinds to desist from its nuclear race. Mainly on the part of the USA, which, as guarantor of world peace in general and of Israel in particular, fought to avoid endangering the latter or worse, if one day the nuclear weapon were to fall into the hands of Shiite fanatics who would not take into consideration the devastating effects that a nuclear confrontation between the two countries could have on that part of the world.

Effects that some specialized institutes or organizations, led by the Institute for Disaster Management (USA), estimate at approximately thirty million deaths in the area, to which must be added the incalculable global disaster in the area of fossil energy in which Iran plays and will always play a key role.

For decades, after many, too many tug-of-war and major restrictions or limitations, it was hardly possible to stop Iran from succeeding in its endeavor or at least to delay or slow down its achievement. It was the arrival of Trump to the US presidency and his change of international policy and world geo-strategy, according to the new American interests and other types of threats from Russia and China, which meant the literal abandonment of American interest and investments in the East, thus allowing Iran to run wild, although “apparently” it was the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) which was in charge of the issue and “watched”, to denounce Iranian progress in this regard.

Today, everyone knows for certain that Israel has a large number of powerful nuclear weapons, although it never admits it, and that Iran has sufficient capacity and facilities to manufacture nuclear fuel on its own.

So dinner is on the table; the danger exists, it is no longer theoretical, and one or the other, for various and different reasons, could push the red button and bring chaos to the world. Too many times we have had to swallow the bluster of Iranian threats against Israel; but the time will come when it could become a reality; mainly if the event becomes too repetitive or the security of the leaders of one or both countries is put in serious danger; it will be then when someone will not be able to resist the internal or external pressures or the temptation to act in what he will consider as an act of self-defense and legitimate defense of his people.

Iran has been opting for a combined strategy between direct threats and the creation, feeding and training of paramilitary forces, authentic and important terrorist groups to threaten Israel and deploy them in bordering areas, which facilitates their harassment and sporadic attacks on its territory and citizens.

These areas are well known and are located in the Gaza Strip (Hamas Palestinians), Lebanon (Hezbollah) and other Shiite terrorist groups in Yemen, Syria and even Iraq. They are known as proxy-es (close) and, although they have many ties, mainly against Israel, they differ in their religion; Hezbollah defines itself as a Shiite resistance. Hamas, on the other hand, is Sunni.

These groups have been launched several times against Israel and Hamas was precisely the executing arm of the massive attack of last October 7 with more than 1500 dead in the skirmishes and which has begun the escalation of this situation that, for the moment, has more than 30,000 casualties and the destruction of almost all of Gaza, with the annihilation of its military and religious leadership, as well as most of its war material.

Having successfully completed the first phase on Gaza, Israel has recently decided to act on Lebanon in an attempt to achieve similar successes in that country with a certain degree of success and thanks to the surprise and originality of its selective attacks to date. In view of the above, Iran decided to avenge on Tuesday night the assassination of Hasan Nasrala in Beirut the previous Friday and that of Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran last July 31 and launched, for the second time, a massive missile attack on Israel's two major cities.

Hours later, Iran's Revolutionary Guard reported that its army used for the first time Fattah-2 hypersonic missiles during its attacks on Israel when it fired nearly 200 ballistic missiles, mainly on the Israeli cities of Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, on Jewish territory.

Based on the results obtained and verified on the ground, the defensive operation was a total success; 181 of those missiles were hit and shot down before reaching the ground by the various and combined Israeli anti-aircraft defense systems, its aviation and the cooperation of certain allies, the US, some Europeans and others in the area, as has been the custom.

For their part, Israeli troops stationed on the border with Lebanon began on Tuesday their ground offensive against Hezbollah in the south of the country for the creation of an intermediate security zone (Buffer Zone). Meanwhile, Hezbollah continued to fire rockets into northern and central Israel - without causing casualties.

From a brief analysis of the situation, it is clear that Iran wants to show its population and proxies that their efforts are not in vain and that they are willing to respond and attack Israel as long as they are willing to do so in turn.

Notwithstanding the above, the reality is that, once again, the Iranian actions and attacks have been easily identified beforehand by the Israeli intelligence and those of its allies; accidental achievement or not, which meant to annul the surprise effect, to be able to prepare its defenses and that, on the other hand, the Israeli reactions, for the moment, are nothing new or spectacular; so the wolf, like the one in the story, still does not appear and everything may be a mere maneuver for the gallery on both sides.

With that said, it seems that the story is not over, we will see it soon.