Guide to Following the 'Super Tuesday' of the Democratic Primary

The crucial date for the election of the Democratic candidate for the presidency of the United States has arrived. A total of 14 states and the island of American Samoa will elect 1,344 delegates Tuesday from nearly 4,000 at the party's national convention June 13-16 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Democrats living abroad will elect 13 more delegates. American journalistic terminology is sovereign in symbolic matters, and since 1984 the term Super Tuesday has been used to describe this date on the election calendar of every leap year, Election Year. More than 30 percent of the delegates will leave the March 3 vote, and the winning candidate next summer will have to bring the total to 1991. 

The importance of Super Tuesday is also explained in terms of population. Almost half of the country's population resides in the states that will vote for the candidate on March 3: Bill Clinton emerged strongly on this date in the 1992 primaries, decisively defeating Paul Tsongas, and eight years later it was George W Bush who emerged as the favorite in the Republican nomination, defeating his rival John McCain in most of the states with primaries. 

There are seven pre-candidates left in the race and on Wednesday there could be fewer. It will be necessary to discern if the projections that now place Bernie Sanders as the great favorite far from Biden are right, or those that give a tighter race or even have put the former vice president on top, as has happened at some moments in recent weeks in the trackings of Politico-Morning Consult or Economist/YouGov. We will see if Bloomberg's strategy of not going to the states that have already voted and focusing on the decisive date of March 3 is successful. And we'll also see where the votes might have gone for Pete Buttigieg, who has announced his exit from the primary after the result in South Carolina. Iowa was a passing chant...

The inclusion of the west coast state in this super tuesday gives the event even more of a buzz. One third of the delegates at stake at the Pacific Rim Balcony are decided on Super Tuesday. The polls give Bernie Sanders over 34 percent as the winner. According to the trackings, none of the other contenders will overshadow him. But it will have to wait because Biden's bid for promotion could gain momentum if he wins in California, and he should also be considered a frontrunner since there is a tradition of moderate progressive Democratic voting here. 

The other giant on the key day of the primaries, where the polls place Bernie Sanders as an equal favourite, although with Biden much closer: 30 to 26. The Hispanic vote is a determining factor in this territory. 

She is the sister of her southern twin, where Joe Biden has won this weekend and given his campaign an extraordinary boost. Almost half the votes have been garnered. Not surprisingly, Biden is well known in South Carolina where he spends his summer vacation on Kiawah Island overlooking the Atlantic Ocean. The possible mimicry of this result in the northern neighbor remains to be seen, but it would make sense for both states to be conservative voting states and not so prone to the leftist radicalism proposed by Bernie. For the time being, RealClearPolitics has placed Obama's former vice-president at the head of the polls. 

Sanders leads the polls and is followed by Michael Bloomberg, although Biden thinks he has a lot to say here. The proximity to the federal capital makes the state of Virginia very symbolic in the battle. 

State Senator Elizabeth Warren is not a favorite among Democratic voters who have placed Sanders at the top of the polls (Sanders 24, Warren 22). In Massachusetts, the third most contentious candidate, billionaire Michael Bloomberg, may appear because of his geographic background (born in Boston). He is the ninth largest fortune in the world, which may weigh against him when he claims the vote of what is considered "the left" in a country of overwhelming conservative ideology. 

Amy Klobuchar is the senator for this east coast state, a natural besides the city of Plymouth, and leads the polls here. Not winning would be a surprise and probably her farewell.

"When we get to Colorado, to California and to Texas, there are a lot of Latinos there and they all love Bernie Sanders," said one of the advisors to the nearly octogenarian aspirant a few days ago. And the polls prove him right, because he leads the second-best in the polls, Ellizabeth Warren, by almost twice the percentage of intended voters (30-17)

Here, too, Sanders enjoys a comfortable lead in the polling average. According to FiveThirtyEight it would get 33 percent, compared to 15 percent for Biden. 

In this state the advantage is Biden's, who would get more than 30 percent of the vote and could translate that into about 24 delegates. 

Biden leads Sanders 21-20. The vote of the Democrats in the most characteristic state of the South Central region is very close, where whoever wins will get at least 13 of the representatives at stake.

Joe Biden confirms his favoritism in Arkansas, where the latest polls place him with 28 percent of the vote, although with Bernie Sanders very close. 

Sanders has a comfortable lead in the vote forecast at 27.5 percent. FiveThrityEight also gives him a ninety percent chance of being the top delegate in the Mormon state. 

Sanders will win in Maine if the polls come in. In eighty percent of the mockups, he will get between six and 15 delegates out of the 24 at stake in The Pine Tree State.  

Sanders territory entirely. It would be a big surprise if the senator for this state did not win in this constituency. Bernie's victories in Nevada and New Hampshire, and his superb results in Iowa have placed him as a favourite in the winter phase of the process.  

It is the only territory where caucuses or local assemblies are held, the rest are primary elections.