Panorama after Super Tuesday in the United States

Super Tuesday

Joe Biden is the winner of the key date in the Democratic primary. Bernie Sanders is still in the battle, and has managed to close the gap thanks to his victory in California, but he will have to change some things about his candidacy. The results place the former vice president with more than forty delegates over those obtained by his main opponent, with Warren and Bloomberg already at a distance that seems insurmountable after their respective defeats on Tuesday. In the states where primaries have already been held, Biden leads Sanders by a very small percentage, 27.3 to 26.7. The battle is already in a draw, although the odds are clearly in favor of the former: 63.1 versus 34.0. 

If the presidential elections were held today, polls show that Trump would lose to both Biden (49.8 to 44.4) and Sanders (49.4 to 44.5), although these percentages do not necessarily mean victory in representatives for the Electoral College as has already happened five times before. 

We review the choices of each of the four favorites based on their results tonight: 

JOE BIDEN (397 delegates)

Obama's former vice president has prevailed in eight of the 14 states where nominations were being voted on. In the southern states he has managed to win thanks to the African-American vote, a great victory because it was one of the social sectors that was in dispute with Sanders.

The middle-aged and older voters have supported him, but above all he has gained the support of more moderate voters, who do not want to counterbalance Trump's radicalism with Sanders'. 

After winning overwhelmingly in South Carolina, Biden has gained a boost which seems to be decisive after Super Tuesday, especially because of his victory in Texas, where the polls put his great rival four points ahead, precisely the ones that have taken the senator out of the lead. 

He has recruited the electoral support of Buttigieg and Klobuchar, as well as the support of Beto O'Rourke, which has also been a breath of fresh air. 

Biden wins 21 delegates from California, 56 from Texas, 66 from Virginia, 34 from Massachusetts, 38 from Minnesota, 9 from Colorado, 28 from Tennesseee, 40 from Alabama, 21 from Oklahoma, 16 from Arkansas, 1 from Utah, 8 from Maine, and 5 from Vermont.

BERNIE SANDERS (356 delegates)

His victory in Vermont, the state of which he is a senator-elect, in Utah and Colorado fell short in the early hours of the morning, in line with his slow-baked expectations of very positive initial results in Nevada and New Hampshire.  But California has changed the face of his campaign and with his victory at the Golden State he has hope. 

Sanders has won the majority of the vote of young people and Latinos, but he has not retained Massachusetts or Minnesota, a fairly progressive state, where Biden has won. The struggle will be fierce from now on.

Sanders has amassed 72 delegates tonight from California, 50 from Texas, 31 from Virginia, 26 from Massachusetts, 26 from Minnesota, 20 from Colorado, 15 from Tennessee, 7 from Alabama, 13 from Oklahoma, 8 from Arkansas, 9 from Utah, 8 from Maine and 11 from Vermont.

ELIZABETH WARREN (48 delegates)

The senator from Massachusetts has not even managed to come second in her state, and has suffered the humiliation of defeat by a candidate who did not even come to Boston to campaign. She has not yet managed to come second in any of the nearly twenty states that have already held primaries. 

The key is whether she maintains her campaign, or decides to resign and give her votes to Bernie Sanders. The Ides of March have been too conducive to her. 

Warren has won seven delegates from California, two from Virginia, 17 from Massachusetts, 10 from Minnesota, one from Colorado, one from Tennessee, two from Maine, and no delegates from Alabama, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Utah or Vermont.

MICHAEL BLOOMBERG (38 delegates)

The former billionaire mayor of New York has thrown his money out the window with this election bet. He had focused on the states holding primaries this March 3rd, giving up on campaigning in the rest. 

He won, however, in American Samoa where he secured four delegates for the Democratic convention. All that remains is to wait for the New York meeting (April 28), if he holds out until then. His team announced today that it is entering a phase of rethinking its objectives.

Bloomberg wins eight delegates from California, four from Texas, two from Virginia, nine from Colorado, seven from Tennessee, one from Alabama, three from Oklahoma, four from Arkansas, two from Utah, and is out of representation in Virginia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Maine and Vermont.